China Warms Up
China is increasingly positioning itself as a geopolitical counterweight to the United States: not as a replacement hegemon, but as a reliable alternative with considerable economic influence. The implications extend far beyond
The World Cup is becoming a stress test for the US system
The FIFA World Cup, which is set to begin in just a few weeks in the United States, Canada and Mexico, is threatening to become a stress test for America’s political and organisational capabilities: security bottlenecks, delays and investment risks are
Africa’s Untapped Power: Why Size Alone Is Not Enough
Africa is at the centre of emerging geopolitical trade conflicts. Competition among major economic blocs for Africa’s resources is intensifying – in principle, a favourable starting position for the continent. “Yet despite its vast resource base and
Private Debt: Returns with Hidden Risks
Private debt investments have been gaining importance for years. They provide access to lending strategies outside public markets and enable companies to obtain financing beyond traditional bank loans. “This structure creates flexibility for both sides –
Bond markets: carry opportunities with limited risk buffer
The war in the Middle East has had a noticeable impact on interest rates worldwide. Developments in bond markets will also depend on the duration and intensity of the conflict. If both remain contained, fixed-income securities in Europe and the United
Equity markets: Beyond the escalation, selection, rotation and structural trends matter
The escalation in the Middle East has temporarily unsettled stock markets, but beyond the headlines, fundamental and structural trends remain decisive for investors. While US and European equity markets are broadly neutral over the coming months, other
War in the Middle East – Energy shock slows, but does not stop the recovery
In the wake of the Iran war, the risk of energy shortages is increasing. Oil and gas prices have already risen significantly, clouding the economic outlook. “The new energy shock is slowing Europe’s economic recovery, but it will not bring it to an end,”
Between War and Recovery – The Situation on Financial Markets
The war in the Middle East is dominating headlines and financial markets alike. However, new geopolitical risks are being counterbalanced by a degree of economic stabilisation.
The Petrodollar system is showing cracks
The war with Iran could ultimately prove more costly for the United States than initially expected. Not primarily because of rising oil prices, inflationary pressures or volatility in equity markets, but because one of the structural pillars of U.S.
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